Defeat of RSF Threatens to Fragment Sudan War Amid Coalition Challenges

The Sudanese army has achieved battlefield gains against the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) by relying on a coalition of armed groups. However, defeating the RSF will not bring a definitive end to the war in Sudan, but will instead fragment the conflict. Once the common threat of the RSF is removed, the Sudanese army may struggle to maintain control over the diverse armed coalition it currently depends on. This potential loss of control risks sparking fragmented conflicts among the coalition members following the RSF's defeat.